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Red129
5018.6
172131.5
234253.0
Blue136
176868.8
59629.9
264851.9
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121184050100150200250300129136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
33Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +40
14Coral scored#18
52Coral points64
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#6
12Processor points24
8Net points24
20Algae points48
72Total teleop112
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#8
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
18Foul points0
129Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.01.1
58.657.5
Auto13.6
Teleop34.5
End4.9
blue by 15.7
68.82.2
75.273.0
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End5.4
Second
1721
#11
31.51.1
31.530.3
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End6.9
blue by 20.4
2648
#16
51.92.2
56.654.4
Auto9.1
Teleop39.2
End3.5
Third
501
#21
8.61.1
11.710.6
Auto4.3
Teleop1.4
End3.0
blue by 1.3
5962
#19
9.92.2
12.910.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed