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Red159
111939.8
19079.3
944326.7
Blue133
115355.0
31932.4
173528.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183145050100200250300159133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave3
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
40Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
17Coral scored#18
61Coral points66
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
95Total teleop100
Reef
11L4#9
5L3#3
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
8Foul points4
159Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
79.30.5
81.581.0
Auto24.0
Teleop46.2
End9.1
red by 24.3
1153
#12
55.00.4
60.059.6
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End7.1
Second
39.80.5
35.635.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End6.1
red by 7.4
319
#5
32.40.4
35.134.7
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.9
Third
9443
#18
26.70.5
30.229.7
Auto4.2
Teleop16.2
End6.4
blue by 2.1
1735
#23
28.80.4
28.628.2
Auto2.2
Teleop23.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned