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Red112
15735.4
115355.0
5018.6
Blue101
944326.7
13142.0
172131.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150151110120130140160170180190112101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +7
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
86Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
112Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
55.03.2
66.563.3
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End7.1
red by 13.0
131
#20
42.03.7
51.047.3
Auto10.4
Teleop26.9
End4.7
Second
157
#13
35.43.2
40.937.7
Auto2.0
Teleop26.2
End7.2
red by 3.9
1721
#11
31.53.7
36.232.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Third
501
#21
8.63.2
19.916.7
Auto4.3
Teleop1.4
End3.0
blue by 18.1
9443
#18
26.73.7
39.836.1
Auto4.2
Teleop16.2
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned