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Red75
16650.7
192223.4
59629.9
Blue162
804649.2
19079.3
31932.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11621905010015020025030035075162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+67
Endgame+87
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points40
26Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +53
9Coral scored#21
31Coral points74
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
43Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#11
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points0
75Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#10
50.73.3
65.362.0
Auto10.8
Teleop30.8
End9.0
blue by 28.6
190
#1
79.32.1
86.484.3
Auto24.0
Teleop46.2
End9.1
Second
1922
#15
23.43.3
30.527.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End3.3
blue by 25.8
8046
#14
49.22.1
56.554.4
Auto8.4
Teleop33.9
End6.9
Third
5962
#19
9.93.3
16.813.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.1
blue by 22.5
319
#5
32.42.1
39.137.0
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned