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Red119
359722.0
172935.5
581373.0
Blue167
111939.8
176868.8
107349.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16120650100250300350119167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+28
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave3
5Coral scored#7
25Coral points33
34Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +26
16Coral scored#20
57Coral points71
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
79Total teleop105
Reef
10L4#11
6L3#9
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
119Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.02.7
75.072.2
Auto16.4
Teleop48.3
End8.3
red by 4.3
68.81.8
78.076.2
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End5.4
Second
1729
#17
35.52.7
38.535.7
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End1.6
blue by 13.7
49.21.8
61.359.5
Auto14.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
Third
3597
#24
22.02.7
32.930.2
Auto4.7
Teleop14.4
End2.9
blue by 17.8
39.81.8
40.538.7
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
90%Coral oddsEarned90%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned