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Red123
13142.0
362323.3
346762.9
Blue60
944326.7
264851.9
5018.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16912905010015020025030035012360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+51Teleop
+61Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
15Coral scored#5
55Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
65Total teleop28
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
8Foul points6
123Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.91.6
70.068.4
Auto13.0
Teleop43.1
End6.9
red by 11.1
2648
#16
51.94.1
62.858.7
Auto9.1
Teleop39.2
End3.5
Second
131
#20
42.01.6
47.345.7
Auto10.4
Teleop26.9
End4.7
red by 15.3
9443
#18
26.74.1
36.132.0
Auto4.2
Teleop16.2
End6.4
Third
23.31.6
21.920.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End2.8
red by 14.6
501
#21
8.64.1
16.712.6
Auto4.3
Teleop1.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned