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Red86
115355.0
107349.2
944326.7
Blue125
192223.4
346762.9
234253.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1661685010015020025086125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+61
Endgame+41
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
4Coral scored#2
22Coral points10
22Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +64
6Coral scored#19
20Coral points70
0Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
0Processor points18
16Net points12
16Algae points30
36Total teleop100
Reef
5L4#5
1L3#8
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#27
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points0
86Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
55.03.9
58.955.0
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End7.1
blue by 7.9
62.91.2
64.162.9
Auto13.0
Teleop43.1
End6.9
Second
49.23.9
53.149.2
Auto14.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
blue by 3.8
53.01.2
54.253.0
Auto13.6
Teleop34.5
End4.9
Third
9443
#18
26.73.9
30.626.7
Auto4.2
Teleop16.2
End6.4
red by 3.4
1922
#15
23.41.2
24.623.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsMissed