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Red116
19079.3
59629.9
359722.0
Blue164
172131.5
362323.3
111939.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15695050200250300116164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+42
Endgame+52
Fouls+48
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points17
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +53
13Coral scored#23
45Coral points84
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
12Processor points18
4Net points12
16Algae points30
61Total teleop114
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#9
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
4Foul points0
116Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
79.31.9
81.279.3
Auto24.0
Teleop46.2
End9.1
red by 39.5
39.83.6
36.239.8
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End6.1
Second
3597
#24
22.01.9
23.922.0
Auto4.7
Teleop14.4
End2.9
blue by 9.5
1721
#11
31.53.6
27.931.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Third
5962
#19
9.91.9
11.89.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.1
blue by 13.4
23.33.6
19.723.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned