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Red129
173528.8
804649.2
264851.9
Blue147
13142.0
172935.5
15735.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155116050100200250129147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points69
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
24Processor points6
16Net points16
40Algae points22
97Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#11
5L3#5
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
129Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#16
51.90.1
52.051.9
Auto9.1
Teleop39.2
End3.5
red by 9.9
131
#20
42.02.8
39.242.0
Auto10.4
Teleop26.9
End4.7
Second
8046
#14
49.20.1
49.249.2
Auto8.4
Teleop33.9
End6.9
red by 13.6
1729
#17
35.52.8
32.735.5
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End1.6
Third
1735
#23
28.80.1
28.928.8
Auto2.2
Teleop23.2
End3.5
blue by 6.6
157
#13
35.42.8
32.635.4
Auto2.0
Teleop26.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned