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Red189
581373.0
176868.8
192223.4
Blue98
107349.2
173528.8
59629.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21410905015025030018998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+71Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +56
29Coral scored#15
106Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
138Total teleop82
Reef
14L4#4
9L3#5
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#22
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
189Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.00.1
72.272.4
Auto16.4
Teleop48.3
End8.3
red by 23.8
49.21.2
59.558.3
Auto14.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
Second
68.80.1
76.276.4
Auto16.9
Teleop46.4
End5.4
red by 40.0
1735
#23
28.81.2
31.530.3
Auto2.2
Teleop23.2
End3.5
Third
1922
#15
23.40.1
27.327.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End3.3
red by 13.5
5962
#19
9.91.2
13.512.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed