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Red120
359722.0
115355.0
111939.8
Blue133
234253.0
31932.4
172935.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151161050100200250300120133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+31
Endgame+21
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +10
18Coral scored#16
66Coral points56
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
80Total teleop90
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#6
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
8Foul points0
120Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
55.02.1
63.361.2
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End7.1
red by 2.0
53.00.9
61.861.0
Auto13.6
Teleop34.5
End4.9
Second
39.82.1
38.736.6
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End6.1
red by 4.3
1729
#17
35.50.9
35.734.9
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End1.6
Third
3597
#24
22.02.1
30.228.1
Auto4.7
Teleop14.4
End2.9
blue by 10.4
319
#5
32.40.9
37.036.1
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsMissed