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Red97
362323.3
5018.6
632455.7
Blue136
15735.4
264851.9
16650.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10518005015020025097136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +22
11Coral scored#17
39Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
67Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
97Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#22
55.70.9
65.764.9
Auto14.0
Teleop37.3
End4.4
red by 3.8
2648
#16
51.92.1
58.756.6
Auto9.1
Teleop39.2
End3.5
Second
23.30.9
20.319.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End2.8
blue by 27.4
166
#10
50.72.1
60.458.3
Auto10.8
Teleop30.8
End9.0
Third
501
#21
8.60.9
12.611.7
Auto4.3
Teleop1.4
End3.0
blue by 26.8
157
#13
35.42.1
37.034.9
Auto2.0
Teleop26.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned