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Red53
999119.5
362325.4
872422.7
Blue81
105831.4
999312.7
999727.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724801001502002503005381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+34
Endgame+32
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +21
5Coral scored#12
19Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
35Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
6Foul points2
53Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3623
#25
25.41.0
23.322.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End2.3
blue by 6.0
1058
#11
31.41.3
34.235.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.9
End4.5
Second
8724
#32
22.71.0
25.724.7
Auto2.7
Teleop18.9
End1.1
blue by 4.6
9997
#15
27.32.2
12.614.8
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End1.5
Third
9991
#26
19.51.6
12.611.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End1.2
red by 6.8
9993
#22
12.72.2
12.614.8
Auto2.9
Teleop10.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed