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Red112
632453.0
226218.4
16661.5
Blue86
135022.4
673132.8
14744.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16264010020030040011286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+22Teleop
+20Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#13
42Coral points47
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
72Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points0
112Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#3
61.53.4
62.058.7
Auto12.9
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 28.7
32.80.6
32.533.2
Auto9.5
Teleop18.7
End4.6
Second
6324
#20
53.03.4
62.258.8
Auto13.7
Teleop34.4
End4.8
red by 30.6
1350
#18
22.40.6
27.728.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.4
End2.3
Third
2262
#24
18.43.4
21.418.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End1.9
red by 14.2
1474
#29
4.20.6
10.110.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed