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Red102
346764.4
23828.7
14744.2
Blue177
581369.6
999119.5
17240.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102154050200102177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+43
Endgame+63
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave9
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points25
9Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +18
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points57
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
18Processor points18
12Net points32
30Algae points50
89Total teleop107
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points12
102Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#8Sur
64.40.4
55.555.1
Auto14.4
Teleop41.8
End8.2
blue by 5.2
69.61.6
72.173.7
Auto15.3
Teleop45.2
End9.0
Second
238
#31
28.70.4
31.331.0
Auto4.6
Teleop21.9
End2.1
blue by 11.3
172
#5
40.01.6
43.345.0
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End6.2
Third
1474
#29
4.20.4
6.36.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.3
End-0.1
blue by 15.4
9991
#26Sur
19.52.7
11.414.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned