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Red41
944316.3
81121.6
226218.4
Blue71
130723.4
172935.3
362325.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569701502004171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+38
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
41Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#28
21.61.3
20.919.6
Auto4.5
Teleop15.8
End1.2
blue by 13.7
35.31.3
41.840.5
Auto8.8
Teleop22.6
End3.9
Second
2262
#24
18.41.3
18.216.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End1.9
blue by 7.1
3623
#25
25.41.3
23.221.9
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End2.3
Third
9443
#30
16.31.3
18.617.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.2
End5.0
blue by 7.1
1307
#16
23.41.3
22.521.2
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed