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Red105
105831.4
632453.0
50113.3
Blue175
16661.5
287634.2
19067.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97188050150250300350105175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+58
Endgame+56
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +37
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points65
0Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
0Processor points18
16Net points20
16Algae points38
66Total teleop103
Reef
5L4#8
8L3#8
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points14
105Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#20
53.00.2
59.759.8
Auto13.7
Teleop34.4
End4.8
blue by 14.6
190
#2
67.60.7
67.266.5
Auto18.1
Teleop42.4
End7.1
Second
1058
#11
31.40.2
30.130.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.9
End4.5
blue by 30.1
166
#3
61.50.7
61.260.5
Auto12.9
Teleop39.3
End9.3
Third
501
#23
13.30.2
7.57.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 20.9
2876
#19
34.20.7
36.836.1
Auto9.5
Teleop22.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed70%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned