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Red123
110033.8
999727.3
8869.4
Blue163
673132.8
176881.8
13155.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119179050100150200250300123163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+30
Endgame+42
Fouls+40
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +30
13Coral scored#20
48Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
74Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#8
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
2Foul points0
123Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#10
69.40.2
66.366.1
Auto14.8
Teleop44.8
End9.8
blue by 12.4
81.80.2
76.276.4
Auto23.6
Teleop47.1
End11.1
Second
1100
#21
33.80.2
38.037.8
Auto9.0
Teleop20.8
End3.9
blue by 21.9
131
#7
55.60.2
48.849.0
Auto11.0
Teleop40.3
End4.3
Third
9997
#15
27.30.3
13.713.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End1.5
blue by 5.4
32.80.2
30.430.6
Auto9.5
Teleop18.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed56%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned