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Red60
17240.0
14744.2
271340.1
Blue52
872422.7
944316.3
999312.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1144101001502006052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
45Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
60Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#27
40.12.5
46.343.8
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End4.8
red by 17.3
8724
#32
22.70.2
22.822.7
Auto2.7
Teleop18.9
End1.1
Second
172
#5
40.02.5
45.042.5
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End6.2
red by 23.7
9443
#30
16.30.2
17.317.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.2
End5.0
Third
1474
#29
4.22.5
6.03.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.3
End-0.1
blue by 8.5
9993
#22
12.70.3
14.414.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed