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Red137
999727.3
287756.0
81121.6
Blue104
15130.1
632453.0
17240.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78149050100200250137104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+31Teleop
+39Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points12
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
17Coral scored#17
62Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
90Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#8
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points6
137Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#13Sur
56.03.4
49.853.3
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End6.9
red by 3.0
6324
#20Sur
53.02.2
56.053.8
Auto13.7
Teleop34.4
End4.8
Second
9997
#15Sur
27.35.7
17.222.9
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End1.5
blue by 12.7
172
#5Sur
40.02.2
42.540.3
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End6.2
Third
811
#28Sur
21.63.4
18.421.8
Auto4.5
Teleop15.8
End1.2
blue by 8.5
151
#14Sur
30.12.2
32.930.7
Auto4.7
Teleop26.8
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed