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Red157
346764.4
13155.6
999119.5
Blue67
271340.1
172935.3
135022.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361135010015020015767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+94Teleop
+92Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +80
24Coral scored#8
85Coral points29
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
123Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#3
9L3#3
6L2#1
7L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points2
157Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.42.4
60.162.5
Auto14.4
Teleop41.8
End8.2
red by 24.3
2713
#27Sur
40.12.8
43.840.9
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End4.8
Second
131
#7Sur
55.62.4
48.951.3
Auto11.0
Teleop40.3
End4.3
red by 20.3
1729
#4Sur
35.32.8
38.936.1
Auto8.8
Teleop22.6
End3.9
Third
9991
#26
19.54.0
12.016.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End1.2
blue by 2.8
1350
#18Sur
22.42.8
24.922.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed