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Red43
23828.7
50113.3
944316.3
Blue95
81121.6
13155.6
192224.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681130501502002503003504395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+48
Endgame+50
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +31
5Coral scored#12
17Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
25Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#8
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points2
43Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#31
28.72.0
36.134.1
Auto4.6
Teleop21.9
End2.1
blue by 26.9
131
#7
55.60.5
46.846.3
Auto11.0
Teleop40.3
End4.3
Second
9443
#30
16.32.0
19.717.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.2
End5.0
blue by 8.4
1922
#17
24.70.5
23.422.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Third
501
#23
13.32.0
11.79.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 8.3
811
#28
21.60.5
24.223.7
Auto4.5
Teleop15.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned