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Red180
999119.5
346764.4
13858.6
Blue94
872422.7
673132.8
135022.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1567705010020025030018094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+74Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave0
6Coral scored#4
32Coral points19
41Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +52
19Coral scored#12
67Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
18Processor points6
28Net points12
46Algae points18
113Total teleop61
Reef
12L4#6
7L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
180Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.41.0
61.862.8
Auto14.4
Teleop41.8
End8.2
red by 31.7
32.80.4
32.432.8
Auto9.5
Teleop18.7
End4.6
Second
138
#12
58.61.0
56.057.0
Auto13.1
Teleop37.5
End7.9
red by 35.9
8724
#32
22.70.4
22.422.7
Auto2.7
Teleop18.9
End1.1
Third
9991
#26
19.51.7
15.216.9
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End1.2
blue by 2.8
1350
#18
22.40.4
22.022.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.4
End2.3