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Red196
13155.6
362325.4
8869.4
Blue194
999119.5
346764.4
13858.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159147100120140180200196194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave9
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points32
26Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +19
27Coral scored#26
98Coral points95
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
146Total teleop127
Reef
13L4#8
8L3#15
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
196Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#10
69.41.1
67.668.7
Auto14.8
Teleop44.8
End9.8
red by 5.0
64.41.2
63.264.4
Auto14.4
Teleop41.8
End8.2
Second
131
#7
55.61.1
53.854.9
Auto11.0
Teleop40.3
End4.3
blue by 3.0
138
#12
58.61.2
57.458.6
Auto13.1
Teleop37.5
End7.9
Third
3623
#25
25.41.1
23.825.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End2.3
red by 5.9
9991
#26
19.52.1
17.519.5
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End1.2