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Red165
19067.6
110033.8
581369.6
Blue91
15130.1
130723.4
192224.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2086805010015025030016591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+76Teleop
+80Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#15
75Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
115Total teleop67
Reef
8L4#7
10L3#4
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points6
165Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.60.2
70.770.5
Auto15.3
Teleop45.2
End9.0
red by 39.5
151
#14
30.10.1
30.730.8
Auto4.7
Teleop26.8
End-1.4
Second
190
#2
67.60.2
68.668.4
Auto18.1
Teleop42.4
End7.1
red by 42.9
1922
#17
24.70.1
25.225.3
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Third
1100
#21
33.80.2
33.933.8
Auto9.0
Teleop20.8
End3.9
red by 10.4
1307
#16
23.40.1
23.323.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End3.7