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Red83
872422.7
17240.0
673132.8
Blue139
13155.6
14744.2
8869.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104136020030040083139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+66
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +56
8Coral scored#18
27Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
37Total teleop93
Reef
3L4#11
5L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
83Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#5
40.00.3
40.340.0
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End6.2
blue by 29.4
88
#10
69.40.4
65.165.6
Auto14.8
Teleop44.8
End9.8
Second
32.80.3
32.732.4
Auto9.5
Teleop18.7
End4.6
blue by 22.9
131
#7
55.60.4
51.351.8
Auto11.0
Teleop40.3
End4.3
Third
8724
#32
22.70.3
22.722.4
Auto2.7
Teleop18.9
End1.1
red by 18.6
1474
#29
4.20.4
3.53.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.3
End-0.1