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Red191
16661.5
50113.3
176881.8
Blue103
226218.4
287756.0
105831.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172102050150200250191103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+80Teleop
+82Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +59
25Coral scored#11
91Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
115Total teleop56
Reef
11L4#4
11L3#3
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +88
6Foul points0
191Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.80.8
78.779.5
Auto23.6
Teleop47.1
End11.1
red by 25.8
2877
#13
56.00.1
53.353.3
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End6.9
Second
166
#3
61.50.8
58.459.2
Auto12.9
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 30.1
1058
#11
31.40.1
28.628.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.9
End4.5
Third
501
#23
13.30.8
11.712.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 5.0
2262
#24
18.40.1
18.318.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End1.9