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Red130
999727.3
287756.0
105831.4
Blue107
999312.7
172935.3
632453.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091066080100120140160130107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+23Teleop
+21Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points20
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points53
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
66Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points4
130Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#13
56.00.4
53.353.8
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End6.9
red by 3.0
6324
#20
53.00.0
52.953.0
Auto13.7
Teleop34.4
End4.8
Second
1058
#11
31.40.4
28.729.1
Auto8.8
Teleop17.9
End4.5
blue by 3.9
35.30.0
35.335.3
Auto8.8
Teleop22.6
End3.9
Third
9997
#15
27.30.7
22.923.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End1.5
red by 14.6
9993
#22
12.70.1
12.612.7
Auto2.9
Teleop10.4
End-0.0