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Red203
16661.5
23828.7
176881.8
Blue137
346764.4
81121.6
13858.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18915550100250300203137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points34
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +49
28Coral scored#20
99Coral points72
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
24Processor points6
20Net points16
44Algae points22
143Total teleop94
Reef
9L4#9
14L3#8
10L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
203Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.80.7
79.580.2
Auto23.6
Teleop47.1
End11.1
red by 17.4
64.40.2
62.061.8
Auto14.4
Teleop41.8
End8.2
Second
166
#3
61.50.7
59.259.9
Auto12.9
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 2.9
138
#12
58.60.2
56.156.0
Auto13.1
Teleop37.5
End7.9
Third
238
#31
28.70.7
27.127.8
Auto4.6
Teleop21.9
End2.1
red by 7.0
811
#28
21.60.2
21.821.6
Auto4.5
Teleop15.8
End1.2