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Red87
66332.2
66209.6
31930.0
Blue13
1015611.5
17614.7
54917.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8654020401001201401608713

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+46Teleop
+50Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +43
9Coral scored#2
31Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
51Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#2
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
24Foul points0
87Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#12
32.21.7
22.320.6
Auto3.9
Teleop24.9
End3.4
red by 20.7
11.51.9
15.013.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Second
319
#25
30.01.7
30.528.7
Auto2.8
Teleop23.5
End3.8
red by 22.6
5491
#33DQ
7.44.7
16.211.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Third
6620
#23
9.61.7
19.718.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End1.5
red by 4.9
1761
#36
4.74.7
16.111.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed