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Red37
81111.8
13834.9
972910.6
Blue30
492517.9
356612.6
590214.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70612040801003730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
16Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points2
37Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#6
34.93.4
26.923.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.0
End7.9
red by 17.0
4925
#13
17.92.9
15.112.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Second
811
#26
11.83.4
9.66.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End1.4
blue by 2.9
5902
#30
14.72.9
19.116.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Third
9729
#34
10.63.4
24.721.4
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 2.0
3566
#32
12.62.9
19.917.0
Auto2.6
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed