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Red82
49876.6
287751.5
944320.5
Blue83
346769.0
9710.3
15129.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94680501508283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +18
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
49Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
6Foul points6
82Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.51.5
34.032.4
Auto15.0
Teleop31.8
End4.7
blue by 17.4
69.00.5
42.643.2
Auto16.8
Teleop47.0
End5.1
Second
9443
#27
20.51.5
31.429.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End4.0
red by 10.2
97
#18
10.30.5
0.30.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End2.4
Third
4987
#35
6.61.5
16.214.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
blue by 2.6
1512
#24
9.30.5
20.621.1
Auto4.0
Teleop1.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned