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Red43
127721.7
362316.7
841020.9
Blue91
964438.9
801341.7
620130.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7882506070901001104391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+46
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +36
3Coral scored#11
12Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
20Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#5
0L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
6Foul points6
43Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1277
#17
21.73.8
22.318.5
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.8
blue by 20.0
41.71.1
36.337.4
Auto9.1
Teleop26.7
End5.9
Second
8410
#16
20.93.8
25.021.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 18.0
38.91.1
15.917.0
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End1.2
Third
3623
#28
16.73.8
21.417.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 13.5
30.21.1
20.021.1
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned