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Red98
234236.3
176841.6
669014.6
Blue76
124715.8
50113.8
632856.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69802040601001201409876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
67Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
14Foul points0
98Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#10
41.61.9
27.429.3
Auto5.4
Teleop33.2
End3.0
blue by 15.0
56.60.4
44.544.9
Auto12.6
Teleop34.7
End9.3
Second
2342
#11
36.31.9
17.319.3
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 20.5
1247
#20
15.80.4
17.317.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Third
6690
#31
14.61.9
19.121.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End1.6
red by 0.8
501
#22
13.80.4
8.48.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed