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Red103
105835.0
731413.9
490955.3
Blue31
870824.4
172113.0
596215.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735820408010010331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+70Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +49
13Coral scored#3
47Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
69Total teleop20
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
103Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.34.0
26.030.1
Auto13.9
Teleop36.6
End4.8
red by 30.9
8708
#15
24.42.5
24.121.7
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End3.5
Second
35.04.0
21.025.0
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End5.6
red by 19.4
5962
#14
15.62.5
20.918.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
Third
7314
#29
13.94.0
16.820.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End-0.1
red by 0.9
1721
#19
13.02.5
8.25.7
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed