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Red74
50113.8
596215.6
234236.3
Blue64
31930.0
1015611.5
81111.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5658404550606570757464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+4Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
48Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#15
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
74Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#11
36.31.2
27.428.6
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 6.3
319
#25
30.00.9
28.427.5
Auto2.8
Teleop23.5
End3.8
Second
5962
#14
15.61.2
14.916.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
red by 3.9
811
#26
11.80.9
7.86.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Third
501
#22
13.81.2
6.07.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 2.3
11.50.9
15.014.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed