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Red87
362316.7
801341.7
66209.6
Blue143
944320.5
346769.0
105835.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77117406010014016087143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+46
Endgame+54
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
11Coral scored#21
40Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
58Total teleop94
Reef
8L4#13
3L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points2
87Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.7
38.939.5
Auto9.1
Teleop26.7
End5.9
blue by 27.3
69.03.5
45.048.6
Auto16.8
Teleop47.0
End5.1
Second
3623
#28
16.70.7
17.618.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 18.3
35.03.5
23.426.9
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End5.6
Third
6620
#23
9.60.7
13.414.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 10.9
9443
#27
20.53.5
29.533.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned