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Red12
49876.6
172113.0
492517.9
Blue82
66332.2
841020.9
669014.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2179040601001201401282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+62
Endgame+64
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +52
1Coral scored#11
4Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
4Total teleop56
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#3
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points6
12Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4925
#13
17.91.6
4.42.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
blue by 14.3
663
#12
32.20.8
22.323.2
Auto3.9
Teleop24.9
End3.4
Second
1721
#19
13.01.6
5.74.1
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 7.9
8410
#16
20.90.8
20.321.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Third
4987
#35
6.61.6
13.111.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
blue by 7.9
6690
#31
14.60.8
19.920.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed