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Red43
66209.6
1015611.5
234236.3
Blue42
731413.9
81111.8
9710.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7740020601001201404342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+5Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
6Coral scored#6
21Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
31Total teleop27
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
43Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#11
36.31.4
28.627.2
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 22.5
7314
#29
13.90.8
22.223.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End-0.1
Second
11.51.5
14.112.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
blue by 0.3
811
#26
11.80.7
6.97.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Third
6620
#23
9.61.5
14.112.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 0.7
97
#18
10.30.7
5.86.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed