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Red80
620130.2
105835.0
50113.8
Blue17
362316.7
972910.6
54917.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785302040601001201408017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+61Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +44
11Coral scored#3
39Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
53Total teleop9
Reef
6L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
80Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.2
26.928.1
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End5.6
red by 18.3
3623
#28
16.74.1
18.314.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Second
30.21.3
31.332.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.9
red by 19.6
9729
#34
10.64.1
20.516.4
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Third
501
#22
13.81.2
7.28.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 6.4
5491
#33
7.44.1
12.68.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed