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Red84
66332.2
870824.4
287751.5
Blue93
632856.6
944320.5
13834.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93138501502008493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+7Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +8
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
56Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points6
84Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.51.4
43.842.4
Auto15.0
Teleop31.8
End4.7
blue by 5.1
56.64.5
48.444.0
Auto12.6
Teleop34.7
End9.3
Second
663
#12
32.21.6
23.221.5
Auto3.9
Teleop24.9
End3.4
blue by 2.7
138
#6
34.94.5
36.632.1
Auto7.9
Teleop19.0
End7.9
Third
8708
#15
24.41.6
21.820.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End3.5
red by 3.9
9443
#27
20.54.5
33.128.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned