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Red83
31930.0
172113.0
801341.7
Blue57
176841.6
17614.7
841020.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837540601001208357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+8Teleop
+20Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
41Total teleop43
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
12Foul points6
83Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.7
39.538.8
Auto9.1
Teleop26.7
End5.9
Level
1768
#10
41.61.4
38.437.0
Auto5.4
Teleop33.2
End3.0
Second
319
#25
30.00.7
27.526.8
Auto2.8
Teleop23.5
End3.8
red by 9.1
8410
#16
20.91.5
21.119.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Third
1721
#19
13.00.6
4.13.5
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.4
red by 8.3
1761
#36
4.71.5
5.23.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed