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Red24
127721.7
49876.6
596215.6
Blue34
669014.6
492517.9
124715.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635502040801001202434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
1Coral scored#0
5Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
5Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points18
24Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1277
#17
21.73.8
24.921.1
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.8
red by 3.8
4925
#13
17.93.7
2.8-0.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Second
5962
#14
15.63.8
16.012.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
blue by 0.2
1247
#20
15.83.7
25.822.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Third
4987
#35
6.63.8
11.67.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
blue by 7.9
6690
#31
14.63.7
20.717.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed