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Red88
9710.3
234236.3
964438.9
Blue16
15129.3
972910.6
590214.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66562040801001208816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+60Teleop
+62Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +56
13Coral scored#1
47Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
61Total teleop5
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#0
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
10Foul points0
88Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.91.9
24.526.4
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End1.2
red by 24.3
5902
#30
14.73.9
17.914.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Second
2342
#11
36.31.9
27.229.1
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 25.7
9729
#34
10.63.9
16.412.5
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Third
97
#18
10.31.9
6.68.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End2.4
red by 1.0
1512
#24
9.33.9
17.013.1
Auto4.0
Teleop1.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed