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Red143
490955.3
31930.0
492517.9
Blue50
1015611.5
127721.7
669014.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83590204010012014014350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+75Teleop
+93Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave3
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +55
19Coral scored#8
70Coral points27
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
90Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#10
BargeRed +18
26Cage & park8
26Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
4Foul points4
143Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.36.2
39.946.1
Auto13.9
Teleop36.6
End4.8
red by 33.6
1277
#17
21.71.4
21.119.7
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.8
Second
319
#25
30.07.2
26.834.0
Auto2.8
Teleop23.5
End3.8
red by 15.5
6690
#31
14.61.4
17.015.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Third
4925
#13
17.97.2
-0.96.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 6.4
11.51.4
12.511.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed