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Red17
54917.4
356612.6
620130.2
Blue82
596215.6
176841.6
66209.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6669203040506080901782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+67
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +57
1Coral scored#11
3Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
3Total teleop60
Reef
1L4#5
0L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
2Foul points2
17Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.25.0
32.627.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.9
blue by 11.4
1768
#10
41.61.8
37.038.8
Auto5.4
Teleop33.2
End3.0
Second
3566
#32
12.65.0
18.513.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.2
End0.7
blue by 3.0
5962
#14
15.62.0
12.214.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
Third
5491
#33
7.45.0
8.53.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 2.2
6620
#23
9.62.0
12.614.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed