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Red65
124715.8
66332.2
49876.6
Blue103
287751.5
801341.7
17614.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions529902040608012014065103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+28
Endgame+32
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
50Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points6
65Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#12
32.21.5
21.523.0
Auto3.9
Teleop24.9
End3.4
blue by 19.3
51.51.1
42.443.5
Auto15.0
Teleop31.8
End4.7
Second
1247
#20
15.81.5
22.123.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.3
blue by 25.8
41.71.3
38.840.2
Auto9.1
Teleop26.7
End5.9
Third
4987
#35
6.61.5
7.79.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
red by 1.9
1761
#36
4.71.3
3.75.0
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed