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Red36
972910.6
9710.3
944320.5
Blue160
172113.0
964438.9
632856.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5390020408010012014016036160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+98
Endgame+112
Fouls+124
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +88
5Coral scored#25
17Coral points89
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
27Total teleop115
Reef
2L4#10
1L3#8
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#5
7Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +124
6Foul points18
36Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9443
#27
20.53.3
26.923.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End4.0
blue by 36.1
56.65.4
44.149.5
Auto12.6
Teleop34.7
End9.3
Second
9729
#34
10.63.3
12.59.2
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 28.3
38.94.3
26.430.8
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End1.2
Third
97
#18
10.32.7
8.55.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End2.4
blue by 2.7
1721
#19
13.04.3
5.59.8
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned