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Red57
841020.9
590214.7
234236.3
Blue78
870824.4
1015611.5
105835.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77702040601001201405778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+15
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +20
6Coral scored#13
21Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
35Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points6
57Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#11
36.30.7
29.128.4
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 1.3
35.00.9
30.431.3
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End5.6
Second
8410
#16
20.90.9
21.921.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 3.4
8708
#15
24.41.1
20.421.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End3.5
Third
5902
#30
14.70.9
14.013.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End2.4
red by 3.2
11.51.1
11.112.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed