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Red150
492517.9
50113.8
346769.0
Blue117
54917.4
31930.0
176841.6
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8390204060100120140160180150117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+25Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
19Coral scored#16
69Coral points58
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#8
18Processor points12
16Net points32
34Algae points44
103Total teleop102
Reef
7L4#7
11L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
150Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.06.9
53.760.6
Auto16.8
Teleop47.0
End5.1
red by 27.3
1768
#10
41.61.2
38.840.0
Auto5.4
Teleop33.2
End3.0
Second
4925
#13
17.96.9
6.313.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
blue by 12.1
319
#25
30.01.5
34.035.5
Auto2.8
Teleop23.5
End3.8
Third
501
#22
13.85.5
7.012.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 6.4
5491
#33
7.41.5
3.55.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed